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Premier League · Matchday 31Saturday 10 April · 15:00 · Stadium of Light
Sunderland20th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Ipswich Town14th place
SUN 54%X 25%IPS 21%

Prediction

  • If Sunderland score first, they win 78% of the time
  • If Ipswich Town score first, they win 50% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.1
Over 2.555%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Sunderland win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
154%1.87X25%3.95221%4.73
Double chance
1X79%1.27X246%2.151275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.555%1.83Under 2.545%2.20BTTS yes55%1.80BTTS no45%2.24

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sunderland · Columns: Ipswich Town1-1 probability 11.7%

Form

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Head to head

Ipswich Town – Sunderland22 August 20262-1
Ipswich Town – Sunderland13 January 20242-1
Sunderland – Ipswich Town6 August 20231-2