TR
Picks
Premier League · Matchday 31Saturday 10 April · 15:00 · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Tottenham8th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Brentford6th place
TOT 39%X 28%BRE 33%

Prediction

  • If Tottenham score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Brentford score first, they win 63% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.3
Over 2.552%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Tottenham win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
139%2.57X28%3.58233%3.02
Double chance
1X67%1.50X261%1.641272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.552%1.93Under 2.548%2.07BTTS yes56%1.77BTTS no44%2.30

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Tottenham · Columns: Brentford1-1 probability 12.9%

Head to head

Brentford – Tottenham22 August 20263-0
Brentford – Tottenham1 January 20260-0
Tottenham – Brentford6 December 20252-0
Brentford – Tottenham2 February 20250-2
Tottenham – Brentford21 September 20243-1
Tottenham – Brentford31 January 20243-2