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Premier League · Matchday 31Saturday 10 April · 15:00 · The Coventry Building Society Arena
Coventry City16th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Arsenal1st place
COV 12%X 19%ARS 69%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Arsenal lead by 280 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Arsenal 0.9, Coventry City -0.4.
  • Arsenal take 2.4 points per game away.
  • If Coventry City score first, they win 38% of the time
  • If Arsenal score first, they win 87% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals0.7 – 2.1
Over 2.552%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
112%8.50X19%5.15269%1.45
Double chance
1X31%3.21X288%1.131281%1.24
Goals
Over 2.552%1.91Under 2.548%2.10BTTS yes45%2.23BTTS no55%1.81

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
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Rows: Coventry City · Columns: Arsenal0-2 probability 13.3%

Form

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Head to head

Arsenal – Coventry City21 August 20263-0