TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Premier League · Matchday 31Saturday 10 April · 15:00 · Selhurst Park
Crystal Palace18th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Everton14th place
CRY 33%X 29%EVE 38%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Everton lead by 65 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Everton -0.2, Crystal Palace -0.9.
  • If Crystal Palace score first, they win 65% of the time
  • If Everton score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.3
Over 2.545%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Everton win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
133%2.99X29%3.51238%2.63
Double chance
1X62%1.62X267%1.501271%1.40
Goals
Over 2.545%2.24Under 2.555%1.81BTTS yes51%1.96BTTS no49%2.04

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Crystal Palace · Columns: Everton1-1 probability 13.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Everton – Crystal Palace22 August 20262-0
Crystal Palace – Everton10 May 20262-2
Everton – Crystal Palace5 October 20252-1
Crystal Palace – Everton15 February 20251-2
Everton – Crystal Palace28 September 20242-1
Everton – Crystal Palace19 February 20241-1