TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Premier League · Matchday 27Saturday 27 February · 15:00 · The Coventry Building Society Arena
Coventry City16th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1High confidence
Bournemouth7th place
COV 20%X 24%BOU 56%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bournemouth lead by 147 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Bournemouth 0.5, Coventry City -0.4.
  • If Coventry City score first, they win 48% of the time
  • If Bournemouth score first, they win 79% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.8
Over 2.554%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Bournemouth win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
120%5.11X24%4.10256%1.78
Double chance
1X44%2.28X280%1.241276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.554%1.85Under 2.546%2.18BTTS yes54%1.85BTTS no46%2.18

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Coventry City · Columns: Bournemouth1-1 probability 11.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Coventry City – Bournemouth18 April 20220-3
Bournemouth – Coventry City27 November 20212-2