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Premier League · Matchday 27Saturday 27 February · 15:00 · The MKM Stadium
Hull City10th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Manchester City2nd place
HUL 14%X 21%MCI 66%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Manchester City lead by 231 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Manchester City 1.8 points per game, Hull City 0.6.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Manchester City 0.6, Hull City -0.3.
  • If Hull City score first, they win 41% of the time
  • If Manchester City score first, they win 86% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals0.8 – 2.0
Over 2.551%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
114%7.36X21%4.78266%1.53
Double chance
1X35%2.90X286%1.161279%1.26
Goals
Over 2.551%1.95Under 2.549%2.06BTTS yes47%2.15BTTS no53%1.87

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
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Rows: Hull City · Columns: Manchester City0-2 probability 12.6%

Form

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