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Premier League · Matchday 27Saturday 27 February · 15:00 · Craven Cottage
Fulham15th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Leeds United12th place
FUL 40%X 29%LEE 30%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Fulham 1.6 points per game, Leeds United 0.6.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Fulham 0.3, Leeds United -0.3.
  • If Fulham score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Leeds United score first, they win 63% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.1
Over 2.541%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Fulham win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.49X29%3.41230%3.28
Double chance
1X70%1.44X260%1.671271%1.42
Goals
Over 2.541%2.43Under 2.559%1.70BTTS yes48%2.09BTTS no52%1.92

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Fulham · Columns: Leeds United1-1 probability 14.0%

Form

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Head to head

Leeds United – Fulham17 January 20261-0
Fulham – Leeds United13 September 20251-0
Fulham – Leeds United22 April 20232-1
Leeds United – Fulham23 October 20222-3