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Premier League · Matchday 27Saturday 27 February · 15:00 · Hill Dickinson Stadium
Everton7th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Nottingham Forest19th place
EVE 39%X 30%NFO 32%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Everton 1.4 points per game, Nottingham Forest 0.2.
  • If Everton score first, they win 70% of the time
  • If Nottingham Forest score first, they win 65% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.1
Over 2.540%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Everton win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
139%2.58X30%3.39232%3.15
Double chance
1X68%1.46X261%1.631271%1.42
Goals
Over 2.540%2.48Under 2.560%1.68BTTS yes47%2.11BTTS no53%1.90

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Everton · Columns: Nottingham Forest1-1 probability 14.1%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Nottingham Forest – Everton30 December 20250-2
Everton – Nottingham Forest6 December 20253-0
Nottingham Forest – Everton12 April 20250-1
Everton – Nottingham Forest29 December 20240-2
Everton – Nottingham Forest21 April 20242-0
Nottingham Forest – Everton2 December 20230-1