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Premier League · Matchday 27Saturday 27 February · 15:00 · Portman Road
Ipswich Town13th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2High confidence
Brighton3rd place
IPS 15%X 20%BHA 64%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Brighton lead by 242 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Brighton 2.4 points per game, Ipswich Town 1.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Brighton 0.2, Ipswich Town -0.4.
  • If Ipswich Town score first, they win 39% of the time
  • If Brighton score first, they win 83% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.1 – 2.3
Over 2.567%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
115%6.48X20%4.92264%1.56
Double chance
1X36%2.80X285%1.181280%1.26
Goals
Over 2.567%1.50Under 2.533%2.99BTTS yes61%1.65BTTS no39%2.54

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Ipswich Town · Columns: Brighton1-2 probability 9.7%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Ipswich Town – Brighton16 January 20250-2
Brighton – Ipswich Town14 September 20240-0