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Premier League · Matchday 27Saturday 27 February · 15:00 · St James Park
Newcastle United12th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Brentford6th place
NEW 37%X 27%BRE 35%

Prediction

  • If Newcastle United score first, they win 65% of the time
  • If Brentford score first, they win 63% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.5
Over 2.557%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Newcastle United win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
137%2.67X27%3.64235%2.85
Double chance
1X65%1.54X263%1.601273%1.38
Goals
Over 2.557%1.76Under 2.543%2.32BTTS yes60%1.65BTTS no40%2.53

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Newcastle United · Columns: Brentford1-1 probability 12.1%

Form

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Head to head

Newcastle United – Brentford7 February 20262-3
Brentford – Newcastle United9 November 20253-1
Newcastle United – Brentford2 April 20252-1
Brentford – Newcastle United7 December 20244-2
Brentford – Newcastle United19 May 20242-4
Newcastle United – Brentford16 September 20231-0