TR
Picks
Premier League · Matchday 27Saturday 27 February · 15:00 · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Tottenham8th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Liverpool5th place
TOT 33%X 28%LIV 40%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Liverpool lead by 102 rating points.
  • If Tottenham score first, they win 62% of the time
  • If Liverpool score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.5
Over 2.553%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Liverpool win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
133%3.07X28%3.60240%2.52
Double chance
1X60%1.66X267%1.481272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.553%1.90Under 2.547%2.11BTTS yes57%1.75BTTS no43%2.33

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Tottenham · Columns: Liverpool1-1 probability 12.8%

Head to head

Liverpool – Tottenham15 March 20261-1
Tottenham – Liverpool20 December 20251-2
Liverpool – Tottenham27 April 20255-1
Tottenham – Liverpool22 December 20243-6
Liverpool – Tottenham5 May 20244-2
Tottenham – Liverpool30 September 20232-1