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Premier League · Matchday 22Saturday 23 January · 15:00 · Selhurst Park
Crystal Palace18th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Tottenham8th place
CRY 31%X 28%TOT 41%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Tottenham 2.0 points per game, Crystal Palace 0.8.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Tottenham 0.2, Crystal Palace -0.9.
  • If Crystal Palace score first, they win 61% of the time
  • If Tottenham score first, they win 70% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.4
Over 2.550%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Tottenham win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
131%3.21X28%3.56241%2.45
Double chance
1X59%1.69X269%1.451272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.550%2.02Under 2.550%1.98BTTS yes55%1.83BTTS no45%2.20

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Crystal Palace · Columns: Tottenham1-1 probability 13.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Tottenham – Crystal Palace31 October 20262-0
Tottenham – Crystal Palace5 March 20261-3
Crystal Palace – Tottenham28 December 20250-1
Tottenham – Crystal Palace11 May 20250-2
Crystal Palace – Tottenham27 October 20241-0
Tottenham – Crystal Palace2 March 20243-1