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Premier League · Matchday 22Saturday 23 January · 15:00 · Stadium of Light
Sunderland20th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Coventry City16th place
SUN 49%X 27%COV 24%

Prediction

  • If Sunderland score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Coventry City score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.0
Over 2.546%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Sunderland win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
149%2.05X27%3.65224%4.18
Double chance
1X76%1.31X251%1.951273%1.38
Goals
Over 2.546%2.17Under 2.554%1.86BTTS yes50%1.99BTTS no50%2.01

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sunderland · Columns: Coventry City1-1 probability 13.1%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Coventry City – Sunderland31 October 20263-1
Coventry City – Sunderland15 March 20253-0
Sunderland – Coventry City9 November 20242-2
Sunderland – Coventry City23 December 20230-3
Coventry City – Sunderland26 August 20230-0
Coventry City – Sunderland25 February 20232-1