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Premier League · Matchday 22Saturday 23 January · 15:00 · City Ground
Nottingham Forest19th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Bournemouth7th place
NFO 33%X 28%BOU 39%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bournemouth lead by 100 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Bournemouth 1.8 points per game, Nottingham Forest 0.2.
  • If Nottingham Forest score first, they win 64% of the time
  • If Bournemouth score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.4
Over 2.548%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Bournemouth win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
133%3.04X28%3.52239%2.58
Double chance
1X61%1.63X267%1.491272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.548%2.10Under 2.552%1.91BTTS yes53%1.88BTTS no47%2.14

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Nottingham Forest · Columns: Bournemouth1-1 probability 13.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Nottingham Forest – Bournemouth24 May 20261-1
Bournemouth – Nottingham Forest26 October 20252-0
Bournemouth – Nottingham Forest25 January 20255-0
Nottingham Forest – Bournemouth17 August 20241-1
Bournemouth – Nottingham Forest4 February 20241-1
Nottingham Forest – Bournemouth23 December 20232-3