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Premier League · Matchday 22Saturday 23 January · 15:00 · Hill Dickinson Stadium
Everton14th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Brentford6th place
EVE 36%X 28%BRE 35%

Prediction

  • If Everton score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Brentford score first, they win 66% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.2
Over 2.546%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Everton win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
136%2.74X28%3.51235%2.85
Double chance
1X65%1.54X264%1.571272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.546%2.17Under 2.554%1.86BTTS yes52%1.91BTTS no48%2.09

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Everton · Columns: Brentford1-1 probability 13.7%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Brentford – Everton11 April 20262-2
Everton – Brentford4 January 20262-4
Brentford – Everton26 February 20251-1
Everton – Brentford23 November 20240-0
Everton – Brentford27 April 20241-0
Brentford – Everton23 September 20231-3