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Premier League · Matchday 22Saturday 23 January · 15:00 · Elland Road
Leeds United12th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Chelsea4th place
LEE 37%X 28%CHE 34%

Prediction

  • If Leeds United score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Chelsea score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.3
Over 2.550%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Leeds United win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
137%2.68X28%3.52234%2.91
Double chance
1X66%1.52X263%1.591272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.550%2.00Under 2.550%2.00BTTS yes55%1.81BTTS no45%2.23

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Leeds United · Columns: Chelsea1-1 probability 13.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Chelsea – Leeds United10 February 20262-2
Leeds United – Chelsea3 December 20253-1
Chelsea – Leeds United4 March 20231-0
Leeds United – Chelsea21 August 20223-0
Leeds United – Chelsea11 May 20220-3
Chelsea – Leeds United11 December 20213-2