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Eredivisie · Matchday 25Sunday 7 March · 16:00 · Cars Jeans Stadion
ADO Den Haag17th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Ajax2nd place
ADO 13%X 19%AJA 68%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Ajax lead by 271 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Ajax 0.9, ADO Den Haag -0.7.
  • Last 5 games: Ajax 2.2 points per game, ADO Den Haag 1.0.
  • If ADO Den Haag score first, they win 37% of the time
  • If Ajax score first, they win 85% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals0.9 – 2.3
Over 2.563%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
113%7.59X19%5.28268%1.47
Double chance
1X32%3.11X287%1.151281%1.23
Goals
Over 2.563%1.58Under 2.537%2.74BTTS yes56%1.80BTTS no44%2.25

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
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Rows: ADO Den Haag · Columns: Ajax0-2 probability 10.3%

Form

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