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Eredivisie · Matchday 25Sunday 7 March · 16:00 · Spartastadion
Sparta Rotterdam11th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Cambuur9th place
SPA 51%X 25%CAM 25%

Prediction

  • If Sparta Rotterdam score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Cambuur score first, they win 51% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.1 – 1.5
Over 2.569%
Both teams score68%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Sparta Rotterdam win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
151%1.98X25%4.04225%4.04
Double chance
1X75%1.33X249%2.021275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.569%1.45Under 2.531%3.20BTTS yes68%1.47BTTS no32%3.11

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sparta Rotterdam · Columns: Cambuur1-1 probability 9.4%

Form

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Head to head

Sparta Rotterdam – Cambuur21 May 20234-1
Cambuur – Sparta Rotterdam21 January 20230-3
Cambuur – Sparta Rotterdam16 January 20221-1
Sparta Rotterdam – Cambuur26 September 20210-4