TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Eredivisie · Matchday 25Sunday 7 March · 16:00 · Stadion Feyenoord
Feyenoord1st place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Heerenveen7th place
FEY 66%X 20%HEE 13%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Feyenoord lead by 129 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Feyenoord 1.6, Heerenveen 0.2.
  • If Feyenoord score first, they win 85% of the time
  • If Heerenveen score first, they win 38% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.3 – 0.9
Over 2.562%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
166%1.50X20%4.89213%7.64
Double chance
1X87%1.15X234%2.981280%1.26
Goals
Over 2.562%1.60Under 2.538%2.66BTTS yes55%1.81BTTS no45%2.24

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Feyenoord · Columns: Heerenveen2-0 probability 10.4%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Heerenveen – Feyenoord11 January 20262-2
Feyenoord – Heerenveen13 September 20251-0
Heerenveen – Feyenoord18 May 20252-0
Feyenoord – Heerenveen23 November 20243-0
Heerenveen – Feyenoord17 March 20242-3
Feyenoord – Heerenveen16 September 20236-1