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Eredivisie · Matchday 25Sunday 7 March · 16:00 · Euroborg
Groningen8th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Telstar16th place
GRO 56%X 24%TEL 21%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Groningen lead by 73 rating points.
  • If Groningen score first, they win 78% of the time
  • If Telstar score first, they win 47% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.1 – 1.2
Over 2.563%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Groningen win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
156%1.80X24%4.21221%4.87
Double chance
1X79%1.26X244%2.261276%1.31
Goals
Over 2.563%1.58Under 2.537%2.72BTTS yes62%1.62BTTS no38%2.62

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Groningen · Columns: Telstar1-1 probability 10.2%

Form

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Head to head

Telstar – Groningen4 April 20260-2
Groningen – Telstar20 September 20252-0