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Eredivisie · Matchday 25Sunday 7 March · 16:00 · MAC³PARK Stadion
PEC Zwolle14th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Willem II18th place
PEC 59%X 24%WIL 17%

Prediction

Key factors
  • PEC Zwolle lead by 151 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: PEC Zwolle 1.4 points per game, Willem II 0.0.
  • If PEC Zwolle score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If Willem II score first, they win 44% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.1 – 1.1
Over 2.562%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a PEC Zwolle win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
159%1.70X24%4.22217%5.73
Double chance
1X83%1.21X241%2.431276%1.31
Goals
Over 2.562%1.62Under 2.538%2.63BTTS yes59%1.69BTTS no41%2.45

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: PEC Zwolle · Columns: Willem II1-1 probability 10.1%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Willem II – PEC Zwolle14 May 20251-2
PEC Zwolle – Willem II13 December 20240-1
PEC Zwolle – Willem II14 January 20222-0
Willem II – PEC Zwolle28 August 20211-0