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Eredivisie · Matchday 15Sunday 6 December · 15:45 · Cars Jeans Stadion
ADO Den Haag17th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Excelsior15th place
ADO 38%X 27%EXC 35%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: ADO Den Haag 1.0 points per game, Excelsior 0.2.
  • If ADO Den Haag score first, they win 65% of the time
  • If Excelsior score first, they win 63% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.5
Over 2.557%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a ADO Den Haag win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
138%2.66X27%3.64235%2.87
Double chance
1X65%1.54X262%1.601273%1.38
Goals
Over 2.557%1.74Under 2.543%2.35BTTS yes61%1.64BTTS no39%2.56

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: ADO Den Haag · Columns: Excelsior1-1 probability 12.0%

Form

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