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Eredivisie · Matchday 15Saturday 5 December · 15:30 · Koning Willem II Stadion
Willem II18th place
Rinvalo prediction0-3High confidence
Feyenoord1st place
WIL 6%X 11%FEY 84%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Feyenoord lead by 405 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Feyenoord 1.6, Willem II -1.1.
  • Last 5 games: Feyenoord 2.2 points per game, Willem II 0.0.
  • If Willem II score first, they win 20% of the time
  • If Feyenoord score first, they win 93% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 2%
Expected goals0.9 – 3.4
Over 2.580%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score0-3
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
16%17.27X11%9.35284%1.20
Double chance
1X16%6.07X294%1.061289%1.12
Goals
Over 2.580%1.25Under 2.520%4.99BTTS yes57%1.74BTTS no43%2.34

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Willem II · Columns: Feyenoord0-3 probability 9.0%

Form

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Head to head

Willem II – Feyenoord18 January 20251-1
Feyenoord – Willem II10 August 20241-1
Feyenoord – Willem II2 April 20222-0
Willem II – Feyenoord15 August 20210-4