TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Eredivisie · Matchday 15Saturday 5 December · 20:00 · Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Fortuna Sittard6th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
PEC Zwolle14th place
FOR 44%X 28%PEC 28%

Prediction

  • If Fortuna Sittard score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If PEC Zwolle score first, they win 58% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.2
Over 2.554%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Fortuna Sittard win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
144%2.26X28%3.60228%3.56
Double chance
1X72%1.39X256%1.791272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.554%1.87Under 2.546%2.15BTTS yes57%1.75BTTS no43%2.33

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Fortuna Sittard · Columns: PEC Zwolle1-1 probability 12.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Fortuna Sittard – PEC Zwolle10 May 20263-2
PEC Zwolle – Fortuna Sittard13 December 20251-0
Fortuna Sittard – PEC Zwolle26 January 20251-4
PEC Zwolle – Fortuna Sittard9 November 20243-1
Fortuna Sittard – PEC Zwolle16 March 20243-1
PEC Zwolle – Fortuna Sittard5 November 20232-0