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Eredivisie · Matchday 15Friday 4 December · 19:00 · 711 Stadion
Telstar16th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Groningen8th place
TEL 31%X 26%GRO 43%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Groningen lead by 73 rating points.
  • If Telstar score first, they win 58% of the time
  • If Groningen score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.7
Over 2.563%
Both teams score64%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Groningen win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
131%3.19X26%3.87243%2.34
Double chance
1X57%1.75X269%1.461274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.563%1.60Under 2.537%2.67BTTS yes64%1.55BTTS no36%2.82

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Telstar · Columns: Groningen1-1 probability 11.0%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Telstar – Groningen4 April 20260-2
Groningen – Telstar20 September 20252-0