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Eredivisie · Matchday 15Sunday 6 December · 13:30 · De Adelaarshorst
Go Ahead Eagles10th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2High confidence
Twente4th place
GAE 16%X 21%TWE 63%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Twente lead by 196 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Twente 1.6, Go Ahead Eagles 0.0.
  • Last 5 games: Twente 2.0 points per game, Go Ahead Eagles 1.0.
  • If Go Ahead Eagles score first, they win 41% of the time
  • If Twente score first, they win 82% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.1 – 2.3
Over 2.565%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
116%6.23X21%4.79263%1.59
Double chance
1X37%2.71X284%1.191279%1.26
Goals
Over 2.565%1.55Under 2.535%2.83BTTS yes60%1.68BTTS no40%2.48

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Go Ahead Eagles · Columns: Twente1-2 probability 9.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Go Ahead Eagles – Twente8 March 20261-4
Twente – Go Ahead Eagles14 December 20252-0
Go Ahead Eagles – Twente2 February 20252-2
Twente – Go Ahead Eagles1 December 20243-2
Twente – Go Ahead Eagles25 February 20243-0
Go Ahead Eagles – Twente3 December 20231-3