TR
Picks
Eredivisie · Matchday 15Sunday 6 December · 11:15 · Abe Lenstra Stadion
Heerenveen7th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Cambuur9th place
HEE 58%X 24%CAM 18%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Heerenveen lead by 134 rating points.
  • Heerenveen take 2.0 points per game at home.
  • If Heerenveen score first, they win 79% of the time
  • If Cambuur score first, they win 44% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.2 – 1.2
Over 2.567%
Both teams score63%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
158%1.71X24%4.25218%5.53
Double chance
1X82%1.22X242%2.401276%1.31
Goals
Over 2.567%1.50Under 2.533%3.01BTTS yes63%1.58BTTS no37%2.73

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Heerenveen · Columns: Cambuur2-1 probability 9.6%

Head to head

Cambuur – Heerenveen19 February 20231-2
Heerenveen – Cambuur13 November 20222-1
Heerenveen – Cambuur1 May 20223-3
Cambuur – Heerenveen19 December 20211-2