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Eredivisie · Matchday 21Saturday 30 January · 17:45 · Cars Jeans Stadion
ADO Den Haag17th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Go Ahead Eagles10th place
ADO 29%X 26%GAE 45%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Go Ahead Eagles lead by 66 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Go Ahead Eagles 0.0, ADO Den Haag -0.7.
  • If ADO Den Haag score first, they win 56% of the time
  • If Go Ahead Eagles score first, they win 70% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.8
Over 2.562%
Both teams score64%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Go Ahead Eagles win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
129%3.45X26%3.88245%2.21
Double chance
1X55%1.83X271%1.411274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.562%1.60Under 2.538%2.66BTTS yes64%1.56BTTS no36%2.77

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: ADO Den Haag · Columns: Go Ahead Eagles1-1 probability 10.9%

Form

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Head to head

Go Ahead Eagles – ADO Den Haag23 August 20263-1