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Eredivisie · Matchday 21Sunday 31 January · 15:45 · Euroborg
Groningen8th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
NEC Nijmegen13th place
GRO 43%X 26%NEC 31%

Prediction

  • If Groningen score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If NEC Nijmegen score first, they win 58% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.5
Over 2.563%
Both teams score65%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Groningen win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
143%2.35X26%3.86231%3.18
Double chance
1X69%1.46X257%1.741274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.563%1.58Under 2.537%2.73BTTS yes65%1.54BTTS no35%2.86

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Groningen · Columns: NEC Nijmegen1-1 probability 10.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

NEC Nijmegen – Groningen25 October 20262-2
Groningen – NEC Nijmegen10 May 20262-1
NEC Nijmegen – Groningen9 November 20252-0
Groningen – NEC Nijmegen8 February 20252-1
NEC Nijmegen – Groningen3 November 20246-0
Groningen – NEC Nijmegen25 April 20230-1