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Eredivisie · Matchday 21Sunday 31 January · 13:30 · De Grolsch Veste
Twente4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Cambuur9th place
TWE 77%X 15%CAM 7%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Twente lead by 231 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Twente 1.6, Cambuur -0.1.
  • Twente take 2.1 points per game at home.
  • If Twente score first, they win 90% of the time
  • If Cambuur score first, they win 26% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.9 – 0.9
Over 2.573%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
177%1.30X15%6.4927%13.48
Double chance
1X93%1.08X223%4.381285%1.18
Goals
Over 2.573%1.38Under 2.527%3.66BTTS yes56%1.78BTTS no44%2.28

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Twente · Columns: Cambuur2-0 probability 9.6%

Form

Compare →
TwenteWDLWW
CambuurDWDWW

Head to head

Cambuur – Twente30 August 20261-4
Twente – Cambuur9 April 20234-0
Cambuur – Twente23 October 20220-1
Twente – Cambuur6 March 20221-0
Cambuur – Twente28 August 20212-0