TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Eredivisie · Matchday 21Saturday 30 January · 20:00 · MAC³PARK Stadion
PEC Zwolle14th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Fortuna Sittard6th place
PEC 39%X 28%FOR 33%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: PEC Zwolle -0.7, Fortuna Sittard -1.3.
  • If PEC Zwolle score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Fortuna Sittard score first, they win 62% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.3
Over 2.554%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a PEC Zwolle win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
139%2.54X28%3.62233%3.03
Double chance
1X67%1.49X261%1.651272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.554%1.86Under 2.546%2.16BTTS yes58%1.73BTTS no42%2.38

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: PEC Zwolle · Columns: Fortuna Sittard1-1 probability 12.6%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Fortuna Sittard – PEC Zwolle10 May 20263-2
PEC Zwolle – Fortuna Sittard13 December 20251-0
Fortuna Sittard – PEC Zwolle26 January 20251-4
PEC Zwolle – Fortuna Sittard9 November 20243-1
Fortuna Sittard – PEC Zwolle16 March 20243-1
PEC Zwolle – Fortuna Sittard5 November 20232-0