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Eredivisie · Matchday 9Saturday 17 October · 15:30 · Cars Jeans Stadion
ADO Den Haag17th place
Full time2-1Rinvalo's pick: 1-3✕ Missed
PSV Eindhoven3rd place
ADO 7%X 12%PSV 81%

What does the market say?

ADO Den HaagDrawPSV EindhovenRinvalo7%12%81%
Market11%14%75%

✓ Agree · both back PSV Eindhoven

Prediction

Predicted: 1-3
Key factors
  • PSV Eindhoven lead by 360 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: PSV Eindhoven 1.2, ADO Den Haag -1.0.
  • Last 5 games: PSV Eindhoven 2.4 points per game, ADO Den Haag 0.4.
  • If ADO Den Haag score first, they win 22% of the time
  • If PSV Eindhoven score first, they win 91% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 1%
Expected goals1.1 – 3.6
Over 2.585%
Both teams score66%
Likeliest score1-3
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
17%14.29X12%8.30281%1.24
Double chance
1X19%5.25X293%1.081288%1.14
Goals
Over 2.585%1.18Under 2.515%6.52BTTS yes66%1.51BTTS no34%2.97

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: ADO Den Haag · Columns: PSV Eindhoven2-1 probability 2.1% · final score

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ADO Den Haag – PSV Eindhoven17 October 20262-1