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Eredivisie · Matchday 9Saturday 17 October · 19:00 · 711 Stadion
Telstar16th place
Full time3-4Rinvalo's pick: 0-2✓ Result correct
Feyenoord1st place
TEL 12%X 19%FEY 69%

What does the market say?

TelstarDrawFeyenoordRinvalo12%19%69%
Market12%17%71%

✓ Agree · both back Feyenoord

Prediction

Predicted: 0-2
Key factors
  • Feyenoord lead by 220 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Feyenoord 1.8, Telstar -0.8.
  • Last 5 games: Feyenoord 2.6 points per game, Telstar 0.4.
  • If Telstar score first, they win 36% of the time
  • If Feyenoord score first, they win 86% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals0.9 – 2.3
Over 2.561%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
112%8.01X19%5.40269%1.45
Double chance
1X31%3.22X288%1.141281%1.23
Goals
Over 2.561%1.63Under 2.539%2.59BTTS yes53%1.89BTTS no47%2.13

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Telstar · Columns: Feyenoord3-4 probability 0.5% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Telstar – Feyenoord17 October 20263-4
Feyenoord – Telstar22 February 20262-1
Telstar – Feyenoord30 November 20251-2