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Eredivisie · Matchday 9Sunday 18 October · 11:15 · MAC³PARK Stadion
PEC Zwolle14th place
Full time4-1Prediction wrong
Go Ahead Eagles10th place
PEC 26%X 25%GAE 49%

What does the market say?

PEC ZwolleDrawGo Ahead EaglesRinvalo26%25%49%
Market28%24%48%

✓ Agree · both back Go Ahead Eagles

Prediction

Predicted: 1-2
Key factors
  • Go Ahead Eagles lead by 101 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Go Ahead Eagles -0.2, PEC Zwolle -0.9.
  • If PEC Zwolle score first, they win 53% of the time
  • If Go Ahead Eagles score first, they win 73% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.9
Over 2.563%
Both teams score64%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Go Ahead Eagles win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
126%3.84X25%3.97249%2.05
Double chance
1X51%1.95X274%1.351275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.563%1.59Under 2.537%2.71BTTS yes64%1.57BTTS no36%2.76

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: PEC Zwolle · Columns: Go Ahead Eagles4-1 probability 1.0% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

PEC Zwolle – Go Ahead Eagles18 October 20264-1
Go Ahead Eagles – PEC Zwolle5 April 20265-0
PEC Zwolle – Go Ahead Eagles21 September 20250-2
PEC Zwolle – Go Ahead Eagles11 May 20251-1
Go Ahead Eagles – PEC Zwolle3 November 20242-2
Go Ahead Eagles – PEC Zwolle11 February 20241-1