TR
Picks
Eredivisie · Matchday 18Sunday 10 January · 13:30 · Cars Jeans Stadion
ADO Den Haag17th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Telstar16th place
ADO 33%X 26%TEL 40%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Telstar lead by 62 rating points.
  • If ADO Den Haag score first, they win 61% of the time
  • If Telstar score first, they win 67% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.6
Over 2.559%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Telstar win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
133%2.99X26%3.79240%2.49
Double chance
1X60%1.67X267%1.501274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.559%1.70Under 2.541%2.42BTTS yes62%1.62BTTS no38%2.62

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: ADO Den Haag · Columns: Telstar1-1 probability 11.8%

Head to head

Telstar – ADO Den Haag11 October 20262-2