TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Eredivisie · Matchday 18Sunday 10 January · 13:30 · Stadion Feyenoord
Feyenoord1st place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
PSV Eindhoven3rd place
FEY 43%X 25%PSV 32%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Feyenoord 2.2 points per game, PSV Eindhoven 1.4.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Feyenoord 1.6, PSV Eindhoven 1.1.
  • Derby match.
  • If Feyenoord score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If PSV Eindhoven score first, they win 57% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.0 – 1.7
Over 2.572%
Both teams score72%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Feyenoord win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
143%2.35X25%3.95232%3.12
Double chance
1X68%1.47X257%1.741275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.572%1.39Under 2.528%3.53BTTS yes72%1.40BTTS no28%3.51

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Feyenoord · Columns: PSV Eindhoven1-1 probability 8.9%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

PSV Eindhoven – Feyenoord25 October 20261-1
PSV Eindhoven – Feyenoord1 February 20263-0
Feyenoord – PSV Eindhoven26 October 20252-3
Feyenoord – PSV Eindhoven11 May 20252-3
PSV Eindhoven – Feyenoord22 December 20243-0
PSV Eindhoven – Feyenoord3 March 20242-2