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Eredivisie · Matchday 18Sunday 10 January · 11:15 · Goffertstadion
NEC Nijmegen13th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Cambuur9th place
NEC 60%X 23%CAM 18%

Prediction

Key factors
  • NEC Nijmegen lead by 100 rating points.
  • If NEC Nijmegen score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If Cambuur score first, they win 42% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.4 – 1.3
Over 2.573%
Both teams score68%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
160%1.68X23%4.43218%5.64
Double chance
1X82%1.22X240%2.481277%1.29
Goals
Over 2.573%1.38Under 2.527%3.65BTTS yes68%1.47BTTS no32%3.11

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: NEC Nijmegen · Columns: Cambuur2-1 probability 9.1%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Cambuur – NEC Nijmegen12 September 20263-0
NEC Nijmegen – Cambuur11 February 20230-0
Cambuur – NEC Nijmegen4 November 20220-1
Cambuur – NEC Nijmegen3 April 20221-2
NEC Nijmegen – Cambuur26 November 20212-3