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Eredivisie · Matchday 18Saturday 9 January · 17:45 · MAC³PARK Stadion
PEC Zwolle14th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Utrecht12th place
PEC 29%X 26%UTR 45%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Utrecht lead by 78 rating points.
  • If PEC Zwolle score first, they win 56% of the time
  • If Utrecht score first, they win 71% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.7
Over 2.560%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Utrecht win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
129%3.51X26%3.83245%2.21
Double chance
1X55%1.83X271%1.401274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.560%1.67Under 2.540%2.49BTTS yes62%1.62BTTS no38%2.63

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: PEC Zwolle · Columns: Utrecht1-1 probability 11.4%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Utrecht – PEC Zwolle24 October 20261-1
Utrecht – PEC Zwolle22 February 20261-1
PEC Zwolle – Utrecht31 August 20250-2
PEC Zwolle – Utrecht1 February 20253-3
Utrecht – PEC Zwolle11 August 20241-0
Utrecht – PEC Zwolle3 April 20245-1