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Eredivisie · Matchday 18Friday 8 January · 19:00 · De Grolsch Veste
Twente4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Fortuna Sittard6th place
TWE 76%X 16%FOR 8%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Twente 1.6, Fortuna Sittard -1.3.
  • Twente lead by 166 rating points.
  • Twente take 2.1 points per game at home.
  • If Twente score first, they win 91% of the time
  • If Fortuna Sittard score first, they win 30% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.4 – 0.7
Over 2.561%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
176%1.32X16%6.2128%12.38
Double chance
1X92%1.09X224%4.131284%1.19
Goals
Over 2.561%1.65Under 2.539%2.54BTTS yes46%2.18BTTS no54%1.85

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Twente · Columns: Fortuna Sittard2-0 probability 13.1%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Fortuna Sittard – Twente10 October 20261-1
Fortuna Sittard – Twente21 March 20261-2
Twente – Fortuna Sittard26 September 20253-2
Twente – Fortuna Sittard5 April 20251-1
Fortuna Sittard – Twente23 November 20241-2
Twente – Fortuna Sittard6 April 20242-0