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Eredivisie · Matchday 18Sunday 10 January · 15:45 · Euroborg
Groningen8th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Go Ahead Eagles10th place
GRO 51%X 25%GAE 24%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Groningen lead by 69 rating points.
  • If Groningen score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If Go Ahead Eagles score first, they win 51% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.0 – 1.4
Over 2.566%
Both teams score66%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Groningen win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
151%1.98X25%4.00224%4.08
Double chance
1X76%1.32X249%2.021275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.566%1.51Under 2.534%2.97BTTS yes66%1.52BTTS no34%2.93

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Groningen · Columns: Go Ahead Eagles1-1 probability 9.9%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Go Ahead Eagles – Groningen12 September 20261-1
Groningen – Go Ahead Eagles11 April 20260-0
Go Ahead Eagles – Groningen21 December 20251-1
Go Ahead Eagles – Groningen18 January 20252-1
Groningen – Go Ahead Eagles29 September 20240-1
Go Ahead Eagles – Groningen7 May 20231-1