TR
Picks
La Liga · Matchday 12Sunday 8 November · 13:00 · Estadio Martínez Valero
Elche17th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Real Betis4th place
ELC 33%X 27%BET 39%

What's at stake

ElcheRelegation9%12%18%
Real BetisTop 468%58%53%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Real Betis lead by 109 rating points.
  • If Elche score first, they win 62% of the time
  • If Real Betis score first, they win 67% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.5
Over 2.553%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Real Betis win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
133%3.00X27%3.67239%2.53
Double chance
1X61%1.65X267%1.501273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.553%1.88Under 2.547%2.14BTTS yes58%1.74BTTS no42%2.36

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Elche · Columns: Real Betis1-1 probability 12.7%
ElcheWDDWL

Head to head

Real Betis – Elche12 May 20262-1
Elche – Real Betis18 August 20251-1
Elche – Real Betis24 February 20232-3
Real Betis – Elche15 August 20223-0
Real Betis – Elche19 April 20220-1
Elche – Real Betis21 November 20210-3