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La Liga · Matchday 12Friday 6 November · 20:00 · Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Sevilla6th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Alavés10th place
SEV 42%X 29%ALA 29%

What's at stake

SevillaTop 46%3%2%
AlavésRelegation3%4%6%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Sevilla take 2.0 points per game at home.
  • If Sevilla score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Alavés score first, they win 60% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.2
Over 2.548%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Sevilla win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
142%2.38X29%3.46229%3.44
Double chance
1X71%1.41X258%1.731271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.548%2.07Under 2.552%1.94BTTS yes53%1.87BTTS no47%2.15

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sevilla · Columns: Alavés1-1 probability 13.3%

Form

Compare →
SevillaLDLWL
AlavésDLLDL

Head to head

Sevilla – Alavés14 February 20261-1
Alavés – Sevilla20 September 20251-2
Sevilla – Alavés20 April 20251-1
Alavés – Sevilla20 September 20242-1
Sevilla – Alavés12 January 20242-3
Alavés – Sevilla21 August 20234-3