TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
La Liga · Matchday 12Sunday 8 November · 17:30 · Estadio de la Cerámica
Villarreal8th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Getafe12th place
VIL 62%X 24%GET 14%

What's at stake

VillarrealTop 415%10%7%
GetafeRelegation15%22%28%

What does the market say?

VillarrealDrawGetafeRinvalo62%24%14%
Market63%22%14%

✓ Agree · both back Villarreal

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Villarreal 1.1, Getafe -0.5.
  • Villarreal lead by 89 rating points.
  • The market also backs the home side (63%).
  • If Villarreal score first, they win 85% of the time
  • If Getafe score first, they win 45% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.7 – 0.7
Over 2.544%
Both teams score42%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
162%1.61X24%4.23214%7.05
Double chance
1X86%1.17X238%2.641276%1.31
Goals
Over 2.544%2.28Market 53%Under 2.556%1.78Market 47%BTTS yes42%2.38Market 48%BTTS no58%1.72Market 52%

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Villarreal · Columns: Getafe1-0 probability 14.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Getafe – Villarreal14 February 20262-1
Villarreal – Getafe6 December 20252-0
Getafe – Villarreal30 March 20251-2
Villarreal – Getafe20 October 20241-1
Villarreal – Getafe16 February 20241-1
Getafe – Villarreal30 September 20230-0