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La Liga · Matchday 12Sunday 8 November · 17:30 · Estadio Abanca-Balaídos
Celta Vigo9th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Levante18th place
CEL 50%X 27%LEV 23%

What's at stake

Celta VigoRelegation5%8%12%
LevanteRelegation9%14%17%

What does the market say?

Celta VigoDrawLevanteRinvalo50%27%23%
Market51%27%22%

✓ Agree · both back Celta Vigo

Prediction

Key factors
  • The market also backs the home side (51%).
  • If Celta Vigo score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Levante score first, they win 54% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.1
Over 2.551%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Celta Vigo win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
150%2.01X27%3.73223%4.28
Double chance
1X77%1.30X250%1.991273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.551%1.97Market 53%Under 2.549%2.03Market 47%BTTS yes54%1.87Market 53%BTTS no47%2.15Market 47%

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Celta Vigo · Columns: Levante1-1 probability 12.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Celta Vigo – Levante12 May 20262-3
Levante – Celta Vigo2 November 20251-2
Celta Vigo – Levante21 February 20221-1
Levante – Celta Vigo21 September 20210-2