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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Primeira Liga · Matchday 16Sunday 27 December · 16:00 · Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Estoril18th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Alverca9th place
EST 33%X 28%ALV 40%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Alverca 1.8 points per game, Estoril 0.0.
  • Alverca lead by 97 rating points.
  • If Estoril score first, they win 62% of the time
  • If Alverca score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.4
Over 2.551%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Alverca win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
133%3.07X28%3.58240%2.53
Double chance
1X60%1.65X267%1.481272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.551%1.94Under 2.549%2.06BTTS yes56%1.78BTTS no44%2.28

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Estoril · Columns: Alverca1-1 probability 13.0%

Form

Compare →
EstorilLLLLL
AlvercaLWWWL

Head to head

Alverca – Estoril10 May 20261-1
Estoril – Alverca27 December 20254-1