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Primeira Liga · Matchday 16Sunday 27 December · 16:00 · Estádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Moreirense8th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Académico de Viseu6th place
MOR 38%X 28%ACV 34%

Prediction

  • If Moreirense score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Académico de Viseu score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.2
Over 2.546%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Moreirense win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
138%2.64X28%3.52234%2.98
Double chance
1X66%1.51X262%1.611272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.546%2.15Under 2.554%1.87BTTS yes52%1.91BTTS no48%2.10

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Moreirense · Columns: Académico de Viseu1-1 probability 13.6%

Form

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