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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Primeira Liga · Matchday 9Sunday 25 October · 15:30 · Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Estoril18th place
Full time1-3Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✕ Missed
Moreirense8th place
EST 42%X 29%MOR 29%

What does the market say?

EstorilDrawMoreirenseRinvalo42%29%29%
Market48%27%25%

✓ Agree · both back Estoril

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
  • If Estoril score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Moreirense score first, they win 60% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.2
Over 2.549%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Estoril win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
142%2.38X29%3.49229%3.40
Double chance
1X71%1.42X258%1.721271%1.40
Goals
Over 2.549%2.05Under 2.551%1.95BTTS yes54%1.86BTTS no46%2.16

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Estoril · Columns: Moreirense1-3 probability 2.9% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Estoril – Moreirense25 October 20261-3
Moreirense – Estoril20 April 20261-0
Estoril – Moreirense7 December 20253-3
Moreirense – Estoril11 May 20252-2
Estoril – Moreirense28 December 20242-2
Moreirense – Estoril18 May 20242-1