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Primeira Liga · Matchday 9Saturday 24 October · 20:30 · Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Gil Vicente9th place
Full time0-1Rinvalo's pick: 0-1✓ Exact score
Porto1st place
GIL 18%X 25%POR 57%

What does the market say?

Gil VicenteDrawPortoRinvalo18%25%57%
Market13%22%65%

✓ Agree · both back Porto

Prediction

Predicted: 0-1
Key factors
  • Porto lead by 248 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Porto 3.0 points per game, Gil Vicente 1.0.
  • Porto take 2.4 points per game away.
  • If Gil Vicente score first, they win 49% of the time
  • If Porto score first, they win 82% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals0.8 – 1.6
Over 2.544%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score0-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
118%5.56X25%4.04257%1.75
Double chance
1X43%2.34X282%1.221275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.544%2.26Under 2.556%1.79BTTS yes45%2.21BTTS no55%1.82

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Gil Vicente · Columns: Porto0-1 probability 13.5% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Gil Vicente – Porto24 October 20260-1
Porto – Gil Vicente26 January 20263-0
Gil Vicente – Porto18 August 20250-2
Gil Vicente – Porto19 January 20253-1
Porto – Gil Vicente10 August 20243-0
Gil Vicente – Porto25 February 20241-1