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Primeira Liga · Matchday 9Sunday 25 October · 18:00 · Estádio do Rio Ave FC
Rio Ave16th place
Full time0-4Rinvalo's pick: 0-1✓ Result correct
Famalicão11th place
RAV 23%X 27%FAM 50%

What does the market say?

Rio AveDrawFamalicãoRinvalo23%27%50%
Market26%28%46%

✓ Agree · both back Famalicão

Prediction

Predicted: 0-1
Key factors
  • Famalicão lead by 145 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Famalicão -0.0, Rio Ave -1.1.
  • If Rio Ave score first, they win 55% of the time
  • If Famalicão score first, they win 78% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals0.9 – 1.5
Over 2.543%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Famalicão win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
123%4.35X27%3.72250%2.00
Double chance
1X50%2.00X277%1.301273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.543%2.30Under 2.557%1.77BTTS yes48%2.10BTTS no52%1.91

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Rio Ave · Columns: Famalicão0-4 probability 1.8% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Rio Ave – Famalicão25 October 20260-4
Rio Ave – Famalicão1 March 20260-0
Famalicão – Rio Ave28 September 20250-0
Famalicão – Rio Ave10 March 20251-0
Rio Ave – Famalicão4 October 20241-1
Famalicão – Rio Ave16 February 20242-1