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Primeira Liga · Matchday 9Saturday 24 October · 15:30 · Estádio José Gomes
Estrela Amadora12th place
Full time0-2Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✕ Missed
Casa Pia17th place
EAM 48%X 28%CPA 24%

What does the market say?

Estrela AmadoraDrawCasa PiaRinvalo48%28%24%
Market53%26%21%

✓ Agree · both back Estrela Amadora

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Estrela Amadora 1.6 points per game, Casa Pia 0.8.
  • If Estrela Amadora score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Casa Pia score first, they win 55% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.0
Over 2.548%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Estrela Amadora win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
148%2.07X28%3.59224%4.19
Double chance
1X76%1.31X252%1.931272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.548%2.10Under 2.552%1.91BTTS yes51%1.94BTTS no49%2.06

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Estrela Amadora · Columns: Casa Pia0-2 probability 4.0% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Estrela Amadora – Casa Pia24 October 20260-2
Estrela Amadora – Casa Pia20 March 20264-0
Casa Pia – Estrela Amadora1 November 20253-5
Casa Pia – Estrela Amadora9 February 20251-0
Estrela Amadora – Casa Pia31 August 20240-1
Estrela Amadora – Casa Pia8 March 20243-1